Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 9.013763 10.078467 11.227944 12.562704 14.071909 15.727645 17.684747
2025-04-20 7.372382 8.778005 10.401914 12.422530 14.877511 17.773715 21.464394
2025-04-27 6.224002 7.836771 9.816323 12.438323 15.840255 20.132068 25.999693
2025-05-04 5.275322 6.989363 9.213163 12.333993 16.639364 22.425847 30.886355
2025-05-11 4.415347 6.126475 8.461488 11.917307 16.964110 24.161382 35.375573
2025-05-18 3.756473 5.439187 7.845442 11.588157 17.355313 26.057009 40.469964
2025-05-25 3.239320 4.879085 7.328153 11.319032 17.788346 28.088081 46.181425
2025-06-01 2.839244 4.436857 6.922201 11.154212 18.353294 30.420650 52.861472
2025-06-08 2.520790 4.077312 6.593213 11.059218 19.013597 33.023084 60.554420
2025-06-15 2.320289 3.880977 6.499694 11.342302 20.368983 37.071263 71.771093
2025-06-22 2.081750 3.588380 6.202948 11.220554 20.969990 39.846724 81.139405
2025-06-29 1.849859 3.277460 5.832430 10.906022 21.150944 41.844328 89.360552
2025-07-06 1.658186 3.019745 5.533089 10.699125 21.546397 44.424828 99.650985
2025-07-13 1.544749 2.893276 5.462742 10.935213 22.901047 49.304206 116.482528
2025-07-20 1.449336 2.789242 5.421963 11.226894 24.434373 54.906334 136.610898
2025-07-27 1.346564 2.657734 5.308967 11.348013 25.613639 59.951901 156.768980
2025-08-03 1.224020 2.471073 5.058402 11.127352 25.959883 63.070297 172.653094
2025-08-10 1.118812 2.308166 4.837625 10.941456 26.360559 66.423698 190.232022
2025-08-17 1.027245 2.163774 4.639110 10.778195 26.792050 69.963667 209.483792
2025-08-24 0.950992 2.044154 4.481055 10.689477 27.404875 74.146356 232.109256
2025-08-31 0.885872 1.942056 4.350490 10.649970 28.146668 78.874770 258.117062
2025-09-07 0.848923 1.900260 4.355985 10.961841 29.931386 87.114554 299.170594
2025-09-14 0.791550 1.804037 4.218787 10.874821 30.553469 91.940289 329.538051